Priced for Fear: How Retail Options Traders Systematically Overpay at the Extremes
The volatility smile is one of the most misread signals in all of options trading, and market makers have built entire revenue streams around that misreading. Understanding when out-of-the-money premiums reflect genuine tail risk versus institutionally amplified fear is not optional for serious traders — it is foundational. This article breaks down the mechanics behind the smile and offers a practical framework for avoiding the wings trap.